On the Shoulders of Giants

I can't rule out that I had already viewed this presentation and the words pathways and proximal became lodged in my mind - seeds sown to sprout some distant day in the future. But upon reading this document (again?)  I was struck by the apparent similarities with my proposed risk evaluation methodology, which was the subject of much ranting a few weeks ago - here, here, here, here and here. Specifically, I'm talking about these slides:

Pathways

Proximity

Seeing these concepts pop up in a presentation by Professor Reason really made me feel like I am on the right track1. However, I still have some work to do.

On my to-do list is to figure out how to match the likelihood scale to the new dimensions. Describing likelihood in terms more suited to events doesn't really hold for the latent type of risk condition. That to-do list is pretty full though, so it's only a short post today.

1. Yes, this could be just a case of confirmation bias